Technical Analysis: BTC May Drop to $6,000 with 10-day Forecast

Technical Analysis: BTC May Drop to $6,000 with 10-day Forecast

The overall forecast for the next 10-days is one of a possible drop to the $6,000 mark with signs that the price has failed to break above the $9,000 mark and may plummet in the short term.

Bitcoin (BTC)

The price has failed to break above the $9,000 and move back on an upward trajectory along the support of $10,000. This isn’t the first time that the price has failed to break above this trend.
The price has been dropping consistently and may continue down to the low of $6,000 once again. These changes come has Google search trends and Bitcoin trading volume indicates a sell signal.
The MACD shows consistent sell signs with little overall momentum upwards. There have been various death cross signals where the SMA and EMA crossed over. This suggests a downward trend and continued resistance.
The RSI shows increased strength but still a medium average that promises little more than a flooring effect. This coefficient is still below the high average and is not indicating a strong buy signal.
The ROC has increased substantially since the decelerated growth at the start of March and may indicate a high risk of downward trends. The rate of change has increased activity which has been a strong indicator of volatility this week with large swings of over $1,000 in a single day.
We performed a 10-day forecast using regression analysis and predict a massive drop in price early in the coming week. This is an amended homegrown algorithm that takes advantage of linear models using a simple regression algorithm.
The data is sourced from Bitcoin patterns from past historical prices. The pattern for the coming week shows a strong drop around the beginning of the week.
 

BTC 10-day Forecast using Regression Model
Day Date (UTC time) Predicted Price (Close price)
1 Thu, 15 Mar 18 8023.7885278765
2 Fri, 16 Mar 18 7916.6089785411
3 Sat, 17 Mar 18 7710.1359706863
4 Sun, 18 Mar 18 7831.4283642772
5 Mon, 19 Mar 18 7251.165402497
6 Tue, 20 Mar 18 6656.752134222
7 Wed, 21 Mar 18 6935.323165015
8 Thu, 22 Mar 18 6804.182998978
9 Fri, 23 Mar 18 6674.500800444
10 Sat, 24 Mar 18 6634.28

 

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